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Aandeel ASML Holding AEX:ASML.NL, NL0010273215

Laatste koers (eur) Verschil Volume
686,100   -4,700   (-0,68%) Dagrange 669,200 - 686,900 1.459.747   Gem. (3M) 747,2K

ASML 2018

10.068 Posts
Pagina: «« 1 ... 427 428 429 430 431 ... 504 »» | Laatste | Omlaag ↓
  1. [verwijderd] 25 oktober 2018 10:33
    Beleggers komen langzaam tot inzicht dat de cijfers bij veel techs weliswaar aan de onderkant van de verwachtingen zitten, maar over het algemeen genomen zit er nog steeds een stijgende lijn in. De rest van de onzekerheden kennen we ook al lang, dus geen reden meer om te verkopen. Ik geloof nog steeds in snel herstel, in tegenstelling tot 2011 en 2015. Volgende week is het einde van de maand. Dat is voor mij een belangrijk ijkpunt hoe de lange termijn zich mogelijk zal gaan ontwikkelen. MA20 op de maandgrafiek stijgt nog steeds, maar een slot van rond de 155 is wenselijk, zodat duidelijk zichtbaar is dat de daling kracht verliest.
  2. [verwijderd] 25 oktober 2018 11:01
    @David, die trendlijn gaat binnenkort echt doorbroken worden (dacht ik maandag al). We weten dat de koers afgelopen tijd gedaald is, maar de toekomst is interessanter. Op dit niveau hoef ik niet lang na te denken om te willen kopen. Ik heb wat toelichting in het plaatje gegeven.
  3. [verwijderd] 25 oktober 2018 13:23
    ASMLus/SOX was gisteren 0.1380.
    Dus 0.1380 * SOX = ASMLus.
    Dus 0.1380 * 1120 = 154.56.
    Dit omrekenen met USD 1.14 geeft EUR 135.58.

    Dus als de SOX 1120 staat, kun je verwachten dat ASML ongeveer 136 doet.
    (Bij afwijking +/- 0.01 van het quotiënt zal de koers tussen 125 en 147)

    Zoals het er nu uit ziet staat de SOX straks eerder 1220.
  4. [verwijderd] 25 oktober 2018 14:07
    quote:

    Gastone schreef op 25 oktober 2018 13:23:

    ASMLus/SOX was gisteren 0.1380.
    Dus 0.1380 * SOX = ASMLus.
    Dus 0.1380 * 1120 = 154.56.
    Dit omrekenen met USD 1.14 geeft EUR 135.58.

    Dus als de SOX 1120 staat, kun je verwachten dat ASML ongeveer 136 doet.
    (Bij afwijking +/- 0.01 van het quotiënt zal de koers tussen 125 en 147)

    Zoals het er nu uit ziet staat de SOX straks eerder 1220.
    Wat is eigenlijk het verschil tussen de ^SOX en de SOXX ?

    Den ene staat op 1146.41 den anderen op 155.42
  5. [verwijderd] 25 oktober 2018 14:15
    @Toert, da's een ETFfeke ;-) van Blackrock

    2. Amazon, Alphabet Highlight Busiest Day of Earnings Season

    Investors will be inundated with corporate earnings as 66 members of the S&P 500 and two Dow components are scheduled to report results in what will be the busiest day of the third-quarter earnings season.

    Twitter (NYSE:TWTR), Grubhub (NYSE:GRUB), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Altria (NYSE:MO), General Electric (NYSE:GE), Raytheon (NYSE:RTN), Celgene (NASDAQ:CELG), American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL), and Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) are all due ahead of the opening bell.

    But most of the focus will fall on Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Google parent Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), which both report earnings after the closing bell.

    According to estimates, Amazon’s earnings per share should total $3.08 while revenues are expected to total $57.09 billion.

    Meanwhile, Alphabet is expected by analysts on average to report earnings per share of $10.45 on revenue of $27.3 billion.

    Joining them after the close will be Intel (NASDAQ:INTC), Snap (NYSE:SNAP), Chipotle (NYSE:CMG), Western Digital (NASDAQ:WDC), AK Steel (NYSE:AKS) and Gilead (NASDAQ:GILD).

    investing.com
  6. [verwijderd] 25 oktober 2018 14:21
    www.investing.com/etfs/ishares-phlx-s...

    iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF, formerly iShares PHLX SOX Semiconductor Sector Index Fund (the Fund), is an exchange-traded fund. The Fund seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the United States-listed semiconductor stocks as represented by the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index (the Index). The Index is an equity benchmark for the United States-listed semiconductor stocks. The Index includes companies primarily involved in the design, distribution, manufacture and sale of semiconductors. The Fund generally invests at least 90% of its assets in securities of the Index and in depositary receipts representing securities of the Index. BlackRock Fund Advisors (BFA) serves as the investment adviser to the Fund.

    ----------
    Europa is nog niet aan de ETF's. Zodra dat gebeurd is, is iedereen genaaid.

    Denk 2008 met die subprimes. Totale chaos voor buitenstaanders. Super manipuleerbaar dan, volgens mij, 'market' echt voorbij/illusie.

    Jij wordt geacht niks te doen. Zij beschikken over jouw geld én kunnen gaan rotzooien met de aandelen in hun blackpools. Dat wordt echt lachuh... niet dus.
  7. [verwijderd] 25 oktober 2018 16:15
    quote:

    SNSN schreef op 17 oktober 2018 11:56:

    First time the company did not "outperform" its own "expectations" (read yesterday post). Sure, it's good, assuming the company has stopped wrong practice of fake "forecasts".

    The most probable reason was a lower than expected demand on EUV systems for this year, as well as for 2019. Indeed, instead of earlier announced (planed) shipment of at least 20 systems for 2018 and at least 30, or more systems for 2019, the actual shipment for this year was scaled down to 18 EUV systems and just to 30 systems (not more) for 2019.

    Don't also forget that 2 EUV systems (out of 20-22 planed for 2018) were actually delivered in Q4/2017. Thus, given total expected shipment for 2018 was scaled to 18 systems, there was no new (extra) demand for EUV systems in 2018 that could fill in the 'gap' caused by early delivery.

    There is, of course, a very small chance for some delay in expansion of production capacity. However, this is highly unlikely due to several reasons.

    Our forecast (sales = ~2.93, EPS ~1.72), among some other stuff, accounted for actual company capacity for at least 20-22 EUV systems this year.

    As for the price dynamics, the stock is in the mt-downtrend since Jul 24, testing the r-zone ~163.5-166.5.

    If briefly, after hitting the lower edge on Oct 11, the stock is rising within the downtrend channel towards its upper border ~167 today, determined by the 'falling-top-line' since Jul 24.

    Thus, standard downwards 'border reaction' towards the lower downtrend edge ~139 can't be excluded.

    Don't also forget that almost all 'real rebounds' (since 2015) were signaled by 'double-bottom' patterns.
    So, a new 'low' at around ~140-130, or lower can't be excluded.


    Good luck.

    So, first target was hit, as planned (read just above). New 'low' at ~138 was formed under the lower border of lt/mt s-zone ~140-143, indeed.

    The stock is in the downtrend on both mt- & st-horizons, moving within the mt-downtrend channel:

    - the lower/upper edges for mt-downtrend (since Jul 24) are ~137 /~166
    - the lower/upper edges for st-downtrend (since Oct 17) are ~138 / ~149.

    ST/intraday horizons:

    At ~138 the stock just (almost) hit both mt- & st-downtrend borders, displaying standard upwards 'border reaction' towards the upper edge of st-downtrend.

    Following p/v/t- distributions, there were NO 'profitable' speculative shares under ~143.70. So, if roughly, to dive under this level either some parties should take (or to be ready to take) losses, or lt-investors sitting in well before Aug 2017 should sell. Given ~1.2M new (spec) shares incl. 'shorts' could be sitting (since yesterday) in the range ~144-142 and just ~0.22M (spec) shares under 142, as well as almost 'neutral balance' above 145 (today), one can see that short-term strategies (fast cashing) dominate.

    MT-horizon.

    The next target is ~127. Both technical and fundamental indicators show essentially rising prob. to get there within the Nov - mid Dec.

    At trailing P/E = ~ 26 and really high 'beta' = ~1.65 the stock (above ~120) is overpriced (risk-return trade-off criteria) for lt-investors (fair value is ~115). Above ~120 the stock is actually NOT investment one, but just a playground for active short/long games (volatility trading).

    Don't forget that at 'beta' = ~1.65 the stock has one of the highest market-risk exposure within the 'aex'-market (it's much more volatile than the market itself - really important when market turbulence is expected).

    As for the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index, early warning indicators show high probability for the index to be in a last phase of 'top-forming' (if briefly, the mt-volatility is very high, approaching that one from 2000, and the main s-zone 1230-1218 is braking down).

    Good luck.

10.068 Posts
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