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JvdLow - TA: Scepsis

693 Posts
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  1. [verwijderd] 27 april 2007 14:24
    [OUTLOOK FOR US GDP DATA] The first release of GDP figures for Q1 is set for 12...
    [OUTLOOK FOR US GDP DATA] The first release of GDP figures for Q1 is set for 12.30gmt. Median estimates in our survey are for a 1.8% annualized pace of rise in output and a 3.0% rise in the deflator. That would be match the slowest quarterly growth in 3 years, but at nearly twice the inflation rate as in Q4. (Some inflation measures were negative in the Q4 report.) A 1.8% read on growth would also mean 4 straight quarters of below-trend output gains. The growth deficit has been narrow enough so far, with slow enough capital spending and no rise in the jobless rate, so that any opening in the output gap has been modest, but 4 quarters of below trend growth should begin to pull core inflation lower.

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    vertaling graag iemand?

    het kan vriezen of dooien//....

    ik begrijp eruit dat ondanks dat de inflatie stijgt de groei die naar beneden gaat nu al een aantal kwartalen ook nu impact op de inflatie zal hebben en dus minder kans op inflatiestijging..

    ja?
  2. [verwijderd] 27 april 2007 14:30
    Vlag zit dus niet aan een echte stok vast maar toch.. Op 2/3 zou een uitbraak moeten komen, zoniet, dan kan ie er ook als slappe pap eruit flubberen.

    Volume can also be used as a confirmation tool for a flag. Volume will normally increase as the flag is forming but then decrease as the security trades within the flag. Volume will then normally increase again as the security breaks out from the flag.

    A suggested trading strategy might be to initiate a buy when the security trades out from the flag, i.e. when it establishes a high above the previous highs that form the top part of the flag. An initial stop would ideally be placed on the other side of the flag.

    The opposite is true for going short. You could initiate a short trade when the security trades down below from the flag, i.e. when it establishes a low below the previous lows that form the bottom part of the flag. Similarly, an initial stop would ideally be placed on the other side of the flag.

  3. [verwijderd] 27 april 2007 14:46
    Record highs for [EUR/USD] have followed a softer then expected print for ...
    Record highs for [EUR/USD] have followed a softer then expected print for US GDP which was just 1.3% in the first quarter, well below the 1.8% forecast. Pricing elemnets within the data were above forecast but the damage to the Dollar is done with even Usd/Yen dropping through stops in the 119.00-10 region. There is likely to be continuing pressure on the Greenback with the Finex Dollar index through this year's lows at 81.29, and techs see potential to revisit 2004 lows at 80.39. Another key signal will be a sustained break below 1.2000 for Usd/Chf with talk of stops now 1.1980.

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693 Posts
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