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Uranium

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  1. forum rang 10 DeZwarteRidder 13 juni 2018 15:42
    quote:

    DeZwarteRidder schreef op 13 juni 2018 14:23:

    [...]
    Artikel slaat nergens op.
    Ur-prijs is gestegen van 20,50 naar 23,25.
    De Ur-prijs staat al jarenlang op dit niveau; dit kleine herstelletje was alleen mogelijk door tijdelijke productiebeperking en is dus in feite een nep-stijging.
  2. ruud71 13 juni 2018 16:18
    quote:

    DeZwarteRidder schreef op 13 juni 2018 15:42:

    [...]
    De Ur-prijs staat al jarenlang op dit niveau; dit kleine herstelletje was alleen mogelijk door tijdelijke productiebeperking en is dus in feite een nep-stijging.
    Ik denk dat je het artikel nog eens moet lezen.
    Hij noemt als oorzaak van de stijging een partij die een behoorlijke partij uranium heeft opgekocht en wat dat doet met de prijs.

    What drove the price increase?

    A single buyer came in and bought 600,000 pounds of uranium (which represents less than $14 million worth of buying). This purchaser bought less than 0.5% of annual demand and pushed the price up almost 7%.

    That’s a big deal. Here’s why…

    The average nuclear reactor consumes about 375,500 pounds of uranium every year. Think about what would happen if a utility company like Exelon in the United States tried to lock in a year’s worth of production for its 23 nuclear reactors. The price of uranium would go through the roof.

    It’s not surprising the market is tightening. The world’s largest producer is Kazakhstan’s state-owned producer, KazAtomProm. It makes up 40% of global primary uranium production.

    KazAtomProm has just agreed to a deal with a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) where the latter will buy up to 25% of their annual uranium production. The concept is to sell uranium to the holding company (i.e. the SPV) which removes any overhang from the spot market the Kazakh uranium production would normally have. We believe the SPV that struck a deal with KazAtomProm will have much more demand than the market expects. So that large purchase could be the tip of the iceberg – the inflection point if you will.

    If you think about it, the deal with KazAtomProm is a self-fulling prophecy, meaning the spot price of uranium will go up.

    Why?

    The world’s largest uranium producer does not want to go into the spot market to buy uranium and risk having the “traders” mess with the bid/ask spreads. With this deal, KazAtomProm is taking 25% of their annual production offline (which is 10% of global production). This means that specific allocation of produced uranium is not available for sale in the spot market.

    Er komen trouwens steeds meer berichten van partijen die geld aan het verzamelen zijn om uranium op te kopen.

    Maar goed, meestal is niets wat het lijkt op de beurs.
    Wel leuk om te lezen als je gelooft, zoals ik, in een stijging van de uranium prijs.

    Posities in Fission, UEX, Mega Uranium, Goviex en Aura Energy.
  3. Maurice021973 13 juni 2018 23:03
    quote:

    easy56 schreef op 1 juni 2018 17:40:

    [...]de grote instituten kopen cameco ivm betere verhandelbaarheid.

    De kleinere kunnen veel meer stijgen maar groter risico.

    Ik koop zeker niet veel,al jaren t verhaal dat stijging eraan komt.

    Veel meer groei in solar ,wind en gas.

    Beetje URG en DNN.
    Wel off-topic. Wat ik ervan weet is beleggen in solar in de EU en de VS niet zo heel makkelijk vanwege de grote concurrentie van Chinese producenten. Is dat juist?
  4. [verwijderd] 14 juni 2018 19:14
    quote:

    KabouterUbu schreef op 13 juni 2018 23:03:

    [...]

    Wel off-topic. Wat ik ervan weet is beleggen in solar in de EU en de VS niet zo heel makkelijk vanwege de grote concurrentie van Chinese producenten. Is dat juist?
    denk dat je t goed ziet.
    Dan is t nog t beste om ETF tenemen ivm betere spreiding.
    Zelf geen positie.
  5. Maurice021973 14 juni 2018 19:25
    quote:

    DeZwarteRidder schreef op 14 juni 2018 19:15:

    [...]
    Dat zeiden ze 5 jaar geleden ook al......
    Ja. Dit stuk over Yellow Cake is wel interessant:
    "So I was interested to read that a new uranium investment vehicle is to list on AIM next month. It goes by the name of Yellow Cake and it is planning to raise $160m at IPO. It will make its money by stockpiling the metal and waiting for its price to appreciate. It also plans commodity streaming and royalty deals.

    Kazakhstan is one of the world’s largest and lowest-cost uranium producers and Yellow Cake has managed to secure a supply contract with Kazakh miner Kazatomprom, to acquire somewhere around $170m worth at around $21 a pound, which is about 8% lower than the current spot price of $23.

    To put that number into some perspective, $170m worth of uranium is about 25% of Kazatomprom’s annual production, and is 5% of 2016 global marketed production.

    Yellow Cake has also made a deal with the Canadian firm Uranium Royalty Corporation, which operates a similar model. URC has agreed to buy $25m of stock in the IPO, and to help Yellowcake identify new sources of supply in exchange for royalty and streaming deals.

    Investment boutique Bacchus Capital, led by Peter Bacchus, is behind Yellow Cake.I don’t know Bacchus, but his CV suggests he is no mug when it comes to commodities: global head of mining and metals at Morgan Stanley and European head of investment banking at Jefferies; head of industrials and natural resources investment banking at Citigroup; adviser to numerous mining giants, including Rio Tinto, First Quantum, MinMetals and Fortesque; 25 years in natural resources."
1.201 Posts
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