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Technische Analyse« Terug naar discussie overzicht

Handelshoek dmmsch Augustus

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  1. [verwijderd] 26 augustus 2015 09:55
    BNP Paribas vandaag 26 aug.

    Rückblick:

    Der DAX war durch den Rückfall unter die chartanalytisch wichtigen Marken 10.950 und 10.650 zeitweise im freien Fall. Auch 10.000 wurden sang- und klanglos untersprungen. 9.400/9.300 wurden erreicht. Gestern kam dann die Erholung bis 10.125, wo eine Kurslücke geschlossen werden konnte.

    Ausblick:

    Die DAX Entlastungsrally (Rebound) schien sich schon am gestrigen Spätnachmittag zu erschöpfen. Voranzeichen waren da. Heute startet der DAX schwach. Die Vola wird hoch bleiben. Extreme Schwankungen, die wir sonst nur in Zeiträumen von Wochen und Monaten sehen, spielen sich aktuell innerhalb von Stunden ab. 2 Ziele sind auf der Unterseite ableitbar. Ziel 1: 9.660/9.650. Ziel 2: 9.335/9.320. Widerstand bietet 10.000. Über 10.000 könnte der DAX heute bis 10.200/10.230 oder maximal bis 10.500 steigen. Das Chartbild wird aufgrund der extremen Situation erst oberhalb von 10950/11050 bullisch. In allen anderen Varianten gibt es früher oder später (Stunden/ Tage) neue Tiefs unter 9330.
  2. [verwijderd] 26 augustus 2015 11:04
    The Markets From Asia & the Prospects for the Dow
    Posted on August 26, 2015 by Martin Armstrong

    Asian shares are still struggling on Wednesday as it begins to dawn on investors that the Chinese economy really is slowing. The implication for that is more deflation in commodities as they have accounted for nearly 50% of the purchases of commodities these past few years. As with respect to world total GDP. China has also accounted for nearly 50% of all growth making up for the dismal growth in Europe.

    Investors are starting to fear that even fresh rate cuts in China will not be enough to stabilize its slowing economy and thus, stem the tide of the collapse in Chinese share prices. As we stated, the charts are different in Shanghai index warning that new lows are clearly on the horizon.

    Much as the decline in Japan unfolds, every attempt to rally saw China’s key share indexes smacked back down by waves of selling. This illustrates the overall investors’ view that the far more aggressive support is needed from the government and the central bank to hold the market. If China is wise, they will not follow the route of Japan. The sooner the blood-letting is allowed to unfold, the sooner the trend will be concluded.

    In the USA, we still see Monday’s low as critical as well as this week. A breach of this week’s low warns of a maximum decline of about 5000 points from the May high on the Down so that would bring us into the 12000 zone. The critical number that we will have to watch for the closing of the month on the 31st will be 15550. If we close below that level, this will warn that indeed we may be looking at an October low.

    Additionally, critical support for the Dow (big money) lies at 15961. If we close beneath that level, this too will warn that support below is starting to yield and a steeper decline is likely down to the 13900 area. We see about a 2000 point gap. We would NOT expect that is a couple of days. It would most likely become the target for an extended decline into October with the extreme target in the mid 12000 zone.
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