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QE3

16 Posts
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  1. [verwijderd] 4 september 2011 18:09
    al weken gaat de beurs omhoog en naar beneden vanwege een mogelijk QE3.
    Economisch gezien gaat het tegenwoordig wat slechter, bijna al het nieuws is negatief en de schuldencrisis ligt als een blok aan ons been.

    De europese beurzen zijn vanaf begin dit jaar al veel gedaald, in tegenstelling tot de Amerikaanse beurzen, die zijn licht gedaald.
    Er is het een en ander al in de beurs verwerkt, omdat het al 2 maanden wat slechter gaat.

    Maar over die QE3.
    vorige keer bij de speculaties over een qe2 steeg de amerikaanse beurs met ongeveer 30 procent bijna onafgebroken. gaan we dit dit keer weer krijgen? of krijgen dit maal de economische cijfers en de schuldencrisis meer aandacht en gaan we een diep zwart gat in? (recessie)

    werkt QE3?
    in korte termijn werkt het zeker, iedereen heeft weer vertrouwen en de economische groei zie je stijgen. Op lange termijn echter is het naar mijn mening niet effectief, de economie moet zichzelf staande zien te houden, we kunnen niet eeuwig QE'tjes doen!

    kortom:
    QE3 komt misschien, deze week zal dan ook weer vol in het thema staan van QE3 en natuurlijk Obama's banenrapport. Maar of alles goed komt met dat eventuele QE3 is nog de vraag, er zijn namelijk meer problemen(schuldencrisis eu en "vs").

    het beloofd een spannende week te worden!
    succes allen.
  2. [verwijderd] 4 september 2011 18:18
    Goud kopen, de rest wegdoen.

    Er komt een tsunami aan rotzooi over ons heen.

    Q3 is de giller van de eeuw..........tot nu toe

    Dat haalt niets uit, ja meer schulden af te lossen.

    Het lijkt erop of Amerika expres op een default aanstuurt.

    wegwezen dus......................

    mvg, SELL LIKE HELL
  3. [verwijderd] 4 september 2011 18:46
    quote:

    omhoog en omlaag schreef op 4 september 2011 18:38:

    sell like hell. dat is een mooie slogan om de dagdraad voor morgen mee te openen.
    Als je nu nog niet weg bent ben je redelijk laat.

    De opwaartse correctie was een gelegenheid tot een grote schoonmaak bij uitstek.

    B&H beleggers die hun kruit allang verschoten hebben tellen hun zegeningen van een steeds verder verleden.

    Groet
  4. forum rang 4 New dawn 4 september 2011 19:09
    quote:

    erwinn schreef op 4 september 2011 18:09:

    werkt QE3?
    in korte termijn werkt het zeker, iedereen heeft weer vertrouwen en de economische groei zie je stijgen. Op lange termijn echter is het naar mijn mening niet effectief, de economie moet zichzelf staande zien te houden, we kunnen niet eeuwig QE'tjes doen!

    QE1+2 zorgden er voor dat de aandelenbeurzen stegen en ook de grondstoffen. De multinationals op WS deden het goed, maar de USA is maar een deelmarkt voor hun.

    De economie in de USA deed niets, maar verslechterde verder wat betreft de huizenmarkt. Het werkelozenpercentage bleef op een hoog niveau. Dit was nu juist het verwijt aan de FED dat QE de economie niet hielp. Veel van dit QE-geld zit bij beleggers die er o.a. aandelen van kochten, maar verkochten toen ze vonden dat de buit binnen was.

    Van grote projecten opgezet door de overheid m.b.v. stimuleringgeld van de FED hoor je niets. De resultaten daarvan zou je nog kunnen gebruiken en heb je nog wat aan als economie in zijn geheel.

    Nu is het voor de samenleving weg. Een selecte groep profiteerde en hoopt op een nieuwe QE-ronde.

  5. forum rang 10 voda 12 oktober 2011 21:55
    Some Fed Officials Sought to Retain QE3 Option

    By Scott Lanman and Craig Torres - Oct 12, 2011 8:18 PM GMT+0200

    The Federal Reserve said some officials last month wanted to keep further asset purchases as an option to boost the economy as policy makers saw “considerable uncertainty” that U.S. growth will pick up.

    Most participants favored giving additional information on the central bank’s goals and how they influence the Fed’s decisions, and most “saw advantages” in tying the Fed’s near- zero interest rates to more-specific developments in the economy, the Fed said in minutes of the Sept. 20-21 session, released today in Washington. Such changes may be expressed in ways other than the post-meeting statement, the Fed said.

    The debate culminated in the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision to replace $400 billion of Treasuries in the central bank’s portfolio with longer-term debt to reduce borrowing costs. Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said last week the so- called Operation Twist program is a “significant step but not a game changer” for reviving economic growth and reducing unemployment stuck near 9 percent. Three officials dissented.

    “A number of participants saw large-scale asset purchases as potentially a more potent tool that should be retained as an option in the event that further policy action to support a stronger economic recovery was warranted,” the minutes said.

    Policy makers also decided on Sept. 21 to reinvest maturing housing debt into mortgage-backed securities in part to keep the Fed’s Treasury holdings from getting too large and possibly causing a “deterioration in Treasury market functioning,” the minutes said.

    Benchmark Interest Rate

    The FOMC left its benchmark rate in a range of zero to 0.25 percent, where it’s been since December 2008, and reiterated its language from its August meeting that the rate is likely to stay very low through at least mid-2013.

    The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index of stocks rose 1.7 percent to 1,215.98 at 2:04 p.m. in New York on optimism European leaders were making progress on resolving the continent’s sovereign-debt crisis. Yields on 10-year Treasuries climbed 10 basis points, or 0.1 percentage point, to 2.25 percent.

    Fed officials also considered a weaker version of Operation Twist that would reinvest principal payments on housing debt exclusively in long-term Treasury securities, the minutes said. Policy makers discussed lowering the 0.25 percent interest rate paid on banks’ excess reserve deposits with the Fed; many officials expressed concern that such a move “risked costly disruptions to money markets and to the intermediation of credit.”

    Third Round

    Additional asset purchases would constitute a third round of so-called quantitative easing after the Fed bought $2.3 trillion in housing and government debt in two rounds from December 2008 to June 2011. Some officials said expanding the Fed’s balance sheet further “would be more likely to raise inflation and inflation expectations than to stimulate economic activity and argued that such tools should be reserved for circumstances in which the risk of deflation was elevated,” the minutes said.

    At the August meeting, Bernanke and colleagues discussed adopting specific levels of inflation and unemployment as conditions for keeping interest rates near zero. Only Chicago Fed President Charles Evans has publicly supported the idea of allowing price increases faster than 2 percent annually as a way to lower unemployment.

    The September minutes said that most participants “favored taking steps to increase further the transparency of monetary policy.” Some committee members said it would be “useful” to clarify the link between monetary-policy decisions in the short term and longer-run objectives.

    Unemployment Objective

    A number of participants “expressed concerns” about communicating an objective for the unemployment rate because of monetary policy’s indirect influence over labor markets. The Fed panel agreed that the long-run rate of inflation is determined by monetary policy. The minutes stopped short of saying the Fed was prepared to set an explicit inflation target.

    “Participants generally saw the committee’s post-meeting statements as not well suited to communicate fully the committee’s thinking about its objectives and its policy framework,” the minutes said. They agreed that they would need to use “other means” to supplement the statement, without specifying what those could be.

    The Fed also discussed giving more information on the conditions under which interest rates would stay close to zero, which could make the statement “more effective” and provoke a more favorable response in financial markets, the minutes said.

    Several officials saw a risk that such information “could be mistaken” for a statement of the Fed’s longer-run objectives, and some said the central bank’s Summary of Economic Projections, published four times a year, could be used to provide more details.

    ‘Quite Leery’

    Fed Governor Sarah Bloom Raskin said Sept. 27 that she will be “quite leery” of allowing inflation or price expectations to rise in an attempt to lower real interest rates. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said the same day that faster inflation won’t reduce the housing glut.

    U.S. employers added 103,000 jobs last month, more than economists forecast, while the jobless rate held at 9.1 percent, the Labor Department said Oct. 7. Job gains have slowed for two straight quarters.

    Bernanke said at a Joint Economic Committee hearing Oct. 4 that the two-year-old recovery is “close to faltering.” The U.S. economy expanded at a 1.3 percent annual pace in the second quarter, up from 0.4 percent in the first quarter.

    Staff Forecast

    Fed staff economists reduced their forecast for growth in the second half of 2011 “and in the medium term,” the minutes said, without giving specific figures. That was the staff’s fifth consecutive downward revision to the near-term outlook, and the third consecutive revision to the medium-term forecast. Fed governors and regional presidents last gave economic projections in June and will publish revisions Nov. 2.

    Sixty percent of respondents to last month’s Bloomberg Global Poll see the U.S. economy deteriorating, and 50 percent said it will relapse into recession in the next year. Seventy- eight percent of respondents said the Fed’s Operation Twist won’t produce job growth.

    Many policy makers at the meeting judged that inflation risks were “roughly balanced,” and officials “generally judged that there was relatively little risk of deflation,” the minutes said. The Fed’s preferred price index, which excludes food and fuel costs, rose 1.6 percent in August from a year earlier, up from 1 percent in March.

    To contact the reporter on this story: Scott Lanman in Washington at slanman@bloomberg.net.

    To contact the editor responsible for this story: Christopher Wellisz at cwellisz@bloomberg.net
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