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Aandeel CMB.TECH BRU:CMBT.BL, BE0003816338

Laatste koers (eur) Verschil Volume
12,790   -0,200   (-1,54%) Dagrange 12,760 - 12,960 19.254   Gem. (3M) 29,4K

Forum geopend voor Euronav

19.431 Posts
Pagina: «« 1 ... 389 390 391 392 393 ... 972 »» | Laatste | Omlaag ↓
  1. sip 22 oktober 2019 17:36
    quote:

    RT2014 schreef op 22 oktober 2019 15:35:

    [...]

    Uit interviews met de CEO van Euronav blijkt dat het aantal Euronav schepen dat voor 200.000/300.000 dayrates zijn gechartered heel beperkt is. Denk aan enkele. Dat neemt niet weg dat ook de huidige tarieven zeer interessant zijn en dat daarvan meer dan een handvol Euronav schepen profiteert. Hoe langer het duurt hoe beter.
    De rates van CR Weber zijn vandaag voor VLCC ongewijzigd.
    Op dit niveau zeer winstgevend.
  2. RT2014 23 oktober 2019 11:11
    www.hellenicshippingnews.com/freight-...

    Freight rates spike to record highs, but likely to cool off quickly

    VLCC rates have spiked to all-time highs as a number of factors — from US sanctions on a Chinese shipping giant to ships going into dry dock for scrubber installations — combined to reduce dramatically the effective VLCC fleet capacity. Rates for other vessel classes followed suit as charterers sought out alternatives.

    The Arab Gulf-Far East VLCC rate was assessed at a record $65.53/mt (Worldscale 327.5) on October 14, while the WAF-Far East Suezmax rate hit a record $88.80/mt.

    On September 25, the Trump administration sanctioned six Chinese companies for trading with Iran, including two affiliates of COSCO Shipping Co., setting off a frenzy as charterers that had booked tankers with COSCO looked to secure alternate tonnage. The Chinese shipping giant owns 42 VLCCs, representing 5% of the global fleet, in addition to dozens of smaller vessels.

    The sanctions on COSCO follow the re-imposition of US sanctions on Iran and the discontinuation of waivers, which have left much of the fleet of Iran’s shipping company, NITC, idle. NITC owns 38 VLCCs, some of which have been used by China for its purchases of Iranian oil despite the sanctions.

    More recently, an oil major requested guarantees from shipowners that their vessels hadn’t called on Venezuela in the past 12 months. While the US has not announced secondary sanctions (forbidding all business with actors who had done business with Venezuela previously), there is some concern that sanctions could be applied. If such sanctions were imposed, it would affect another 65-75 VLCCs, excluding the VLCCs already affected by the COSCO and NITC sanctions, or those owned by PDVSA.

    Route Rate as of October 14 ($/MT) 1Q-3Q Avg. ($/MT) % Difference
    Arab Gulf-Far East VLCC 65.53 9.73 673%
    West Africa-Far East Suezmax 88.8 23.73 374%
    Indonesia-Japan Aframax 28.18 11.68 241%
    Arab Gulf-Japan LR2 44.48 22.15 201%
    Arab Gulf-Japan LR1 41.94 23.96 175%
    Arab Gulf-Japan MR 36.01 26.72 135%
    Source: S&P Global Platts

    Additionally, Platts Analytics expects approximately 60 VLCCs to head for dry docks in the fourth quarter ahead of the implementation of IMO 2020 regulations, taking more tonnage off the market. Each scrubber installation takes roughly one month. Finally, we estimate that 26 VLCCs are being used for discretionary floating storage, though many are older vessels and would likely be avoided by certain operators.

    The factors affecting the global VLCC market also extend into other vessel classes. While COSCO only owns three Suezmaxes and 12 Aframaxes, rates for these have also rallied as charterers looked for cheaper alternatives using vessels in other size groups. VLCCs represent 42% of the total carrying capacity of the global tanker fleet, meaning large movements in rates trickle down quickly to other vessel classes.

    Looking at clean tankers, COSCO’s sizeable LR1 fleet caused rates for that size class to increase, and some clean LR2 vessels switched to carrying dirty products to capture the ensuing run-up in Aframax rates, reducing the effective LR2 fleet capacity in the process.

    Marginalized Vessels Have Reduced Effective Fleet Capacity

    VLCC Suezmax Aframax Panamax MR Product
    COSCO 42 3 12 28 34
    PDVSA 0 4 13 0 4
    Iranian Tanker Company 38 8 5 0 0
    Floating Storage 24 4
    Venezuela Trading History ? ? ? ? ?
    Planned Scrubber Installation in 4Q* 60 (20) 43 (13.3) 50 (16.7) 1 (0.3) 32 (10.7)
    Total* 144 48 63 28 59
    Total Fleet 792 586 1041 464 2027
    % of Total Fleet* 18.2% 8.1% 6.1% 6.0% 2.9%
    Source: S&P Global Platts Analytics.

    *Scrubber installations take one month; one third of planned scrubber installation count used for calculations

    Platts Analytics sees signs that the spike will come off quickly, even as freight rates remain elevated with significant tonnage still marginalized. First, the same oil major is reported to have fixed a Suezmax that called at Venezuelan ports over the last year. The market is likely to view that decision as a sign that restrictions on vessels with Venezuela trading history are unlikely in the near term.

    Second, the higher freight rates are likely to make shipowners think twice about sending their vessels to dry docks to be fitted with scrubbers. That would ease tonnage constraints in the short term but further pressure high sulfur fuel oil cracks in 2020. Also, shipowners will increase their speeds in the hope of getting more fixtures at these elevated rates, which ultimately add tonnage to the market and reposition ships.

    The rally in freight rates has eaten into or shut arbitrage incentives to ship crude to Asia, and while we expect the spike to be short-lived, we still expect FOB crude pricing to respond to lingering strength in freight rates. For example, India Oil Corp. said it was reducing its spot purchases following the increase in freight rates. Differentials for West African crude grades were assessed sharply lower last Monday (down 65-85 cents/b), offsetting some of the spike in freight rates.
  3. RT2014 24 oktober 2019 09:09
    Onderstaand nieuws betekent denk ik dat ook voor de VLCC's de sancties snel kunnen worden opgeheven als de reder bereid is de juridische eigendom te wijzigen.

    Yamal LNG tanker JV no longer under sanctions after ownership change
    Teekay LNG’s liquefied natural gas (LNG) tanker venture, the Yamal LNG Joint Venture, is no longer subject to U.S. sanctions after a change of ownership at its partner China LNG Shipping (Holdings) Ltd, Teekay companies said.

    Teekay LNG and China LNG Shipping each own half of Yamal LNG Joint Venture. The company owns four specialised Arc7 LNG tankers, or “ice class carriers”, which ship LNG from Yamal LNG, a massive production facility operated by Russian independent gas producer Novatek in the Russian Arctic.

    The joint venture was blocked in late September after the United States imposed sanctions on two units of COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation Co Ltd, including COSCO Shipping Tanker (Dalian) which owns China LNG Shipping.

    The sanctions caused shipping costs for oil and LNG to more than double across the globe.

    China LNG Shipping is no longer “classified as a “Blocked Person” under Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) rules” after COSCO Shipping completed an ownership restructuring on arms-length terms, Teekay Corp and its subsidiary Teekay LNG said in a statement.

    Cosco Shipping could not be immediately reached for comment.

    “The four existing ARC7 LNG carriers are continuing to operate under their long-term contracts transporting gas from the Yamal LNG project and the remaining two ARC7 LNG carrier newbuildings are expected to deliver in the fourth quarter of 2019,” Teekay said.

    Teekay has a controlling stake in Teekay LNG, which is the world’s third-largest independent owner and operator of LNG carriers.

    Source: Reuters (Reporting by Singapore energy team Editing by Jacqueline Wong
  4. Risky bets 24 oktober 2019 12:23
    Niet helemaal. Die TGP vessels hadden niks met Iran te maken. Was alleen een probleem omdat de 50% JV partner Cosco-Dalian was. Nu is die 50% ownership overgedragen naar moederbedrijf COSCO. Volgens mij zijn de COSCO Dalian fully owned vessels specifiek op het schip gesanctioned. Dus zal een eigendoms verandering niet een easy fix zijn.
  5. RT2014 24 oktober 2019 13:08
    ANALYSE | Op de Maritime Conference leek Euronav veel vertrouwen te hebben in de huidige marktomstandigheden en in het bijzonder in het vierde kwartaal van 2019. Dat was voor sectoranalist Cédric Duinslaeger een bevestiging van zijn vertrouwen in Euronav als één van de KBCS Top Picks voor 2019. Sinds de jaarstart steeg de koers van het aandeel al met 61%. Hoewel de vrachttarieven in het eerste en derde kwartaal onder de verwachtingen lagen, bereiken ze in het vierde kwartaal recordniveaus, als gevolg van enkele gunstige effecten op korte en lange termijn (IMO2020, retrofiting, COSCO-sancties, seizoensgebondenheid, uitvoer van de VS,...).
    De visie van KBC Securities: KBCS verhoogt het koersdoel van 10,50 naar 13,50 euro, wat een premie van 5% vertegenwoordigt t.o.v. de door KBCS vooropgestelde netto actiefwaarde (NAW) voor eind 2020. Gezien de opwaartse bewegingen van de tweedehands VLCC- en Suezmax-waarden schat onze analist de huidige markt-NAW van Euronav op 10,40 euro per aandeel. Bovendien is KBCS optimistisch, zowel voor het vierde kwartaal van 2019 als voor 2020, en verwacht onze analist hogere dividenden uit de toegenomen kasstroomgeneratie, waardoor Euronav mogelijk bijkomende interesse bij investeerders zal wekken. KBCS gelooft dat IMO2020 (regelgeving met strengere uitstootnormen voor de scheepvaart die vanaf 2020 in voege treedt, nvdr.) een interessante omgeving zal creëren, waarin Euronav kan profiteren van zijn omvang, opslagmogelijkheden (ULCC's) en uitstekend management.
  6. Risky bets 24 oktober 2019 14:01
    KBCS verhoogt het koersdoel van 10,50 naar 13,50 euro, wat een premie van 5% vertegenwoordigt t.o.v. de door KBCS vooropgestelde netto actiefwaarde (NAW)

    Ik weet niet waar KBCS hun NAV estimates vandaag halen. Maar het lijkt erop dat ze EURN's NAV rond de 13euro hebben. Dat is ver boven waar andere banken EURN's NAV hebben...
  7. Lammetod 24 oktober 2019 14:21
    quote:

    Risky bets schreef op 24 oktober 2019 08:39:

    Ben terug van een weekje vakantie. EURN ligt er lekker bij.

    DHT heeft gister na-markt gerapporteerd. Ik zou dit doornemen als je wilt weten wat je van EURN ook ongeveer kan verwachten.

    ml-eu.globenewswire.com/Resource/Down...
    Hebben je gemist hoop dat je een goede Vacantie hebt gehad , je ziet het je bent weg geweest en hier is alles goed gegaan met euronav
19.431 Posts
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