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Gemalto« Terug naar discussie overzicht

September 2017

466 Posts
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  1. Anda 13 september 2017 09:29
    With troubled beaster stock Gemalto – which apparently has not been taken over yet, there may be some good news which is not M&A related, and which many in the market have missed.

    This is the way that as reported on Barron’s last week, Gemalto is involved as a possible player in the whole Apple phenomenon. Given the trials and tribulations the Dutch listed profits warnings company with a sideline in telecommunications has experienced in the recent past, good news is overdue.

    www.barrons.com/articles/how-a-new-ap...

    However, it would appeal that after a whole flock of black swans, a traditionally coloured bird of this species may have finally arrived. According to Barron’s Gemalto could finally get lucky, after being very unlucky, in terms of getting Apple’s business for the iWatch eSIM. While such a deal could go to competitor Giesecke & Devrient, Gemalto’s market share advantage as far as the SIM market could sway fortune in its favour.

    The big reward though, would be that the whole mobile phone industry switches from the SIM to the eSim via the iWatch, courtesy of the Apple effect. If this is the case the painful dive in Gemalto after profits warnings rather than M&A could prove to be a dip to buy into. Those burnt by Gemalto since the summer will certainly be hoping this is the case.
  2. Anda 13 september 2017 09:38
    Barrons report

    The telecommunications market may soon be up-ended once again by the Apple Effect. A decade ago, Apple transformed the terms of the wireless phone business with its first iPhone, and this week it may do so again.

    No, this is not about the 10th-anniversary iPhone that’s expected to be unveiled at a Sept. 12 media event at Apple’s headquarters. Rather, the pivotal development may involve a second, less-ballyhooed product, the Apple Watch, which many believe is also getting an upgrade.

    The rumor mill has for months said Apple’s next smartwatch will gain the ability to dial up the internet wirelessly even when it’s not connected to an iPhone. If true, the new Apple Watch will probably make use of an emerging technology called an embedded SIM. This could further separate the purchase of a new electronic gadget from the grip of the phone companies.

    A beneficiary of this development could be Dutch-listed Gemalto (ticker: GTO.Netherlands), a supplier to the phone companies. ( Gemalto also has American depositary receipts that trade over the counter under the ticker GTOMY.)

    Inside every smartphone is a subscriber identity module, or SIM, a little plastic card with a chip that employees at the phone store shove inside the device when you buy a new unit. The SIM tells a wireless network that you’re a valid customer so you can connect. The carrier traditionally buys SIMs, then programs them with customer numbers.
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    The embedded SIM, or eSIM, which has been in development for a number of years by a wireless industry consortium known as the GSM Association, works differently. The chip is built into the device when it’s made. Nothing needs to be inserted. Moreover, an eSIM can be set up remotely, over the internet, without a visit to a store.

    Industry experts believe that the Apple Watch will use an eSIM to make possible that independent data connection. You might order a watch, open the box, then pick a wireless provider right from the device, or from an app on your iPhone.

    The eSIM has been slow to take off, although it has been placed within some automobiles with internet connections, and in industrial equipment. Samsung Electronics (005930.South Korea) has touted its own smartwatch, the Gear S3 Frontier, as the very first eSIM device.

    But Samsung trails far behind Apple in the smartwatch race, so the market for eSIM is waiting, once again, for the Apple Effect. “It [a new Apple Watch] will give a huge boost to the struggling eSIM market,” says Neil Mawston of market research firm Strategy Analytics.

    The eSIM is now in less than 1% of all mobile and automotive devices globally, Mawston’s data show. “Everyone is sitting on their hands and waiting for Apple to ignite the fireworks,” he says.

    There are two immediate beneficiaries, presuming that Apple delivers the goods: Gemalto, as mentioned above, and a private firm based in Munich called Giesecke & Devrient. Both manufacture SIM cards. As a result, making eSIMs is their next logical opportunity, something they’ve been talking about for some time.

    Gemalto has the top SIM market share by some counts, says analyst Mawston, though that can vary depending on how one slices the numbers for units of SIMs shipped.

    Mawston is inclined to think that Giesecke & Devrient may get the business from Apple to build the eSIM for the smartwatch, given that the company was “a little earlier to the eSIM game” than Gemalto. But, it’s tough to second-guess Apple, he concedes, and Gemalto could end up having some or all of the business. We won’t know for sure until the smartwatch gets into the hands of gadget types and they tear it open and examine its chips.

    Gemalto stock has been down 28% this year. Phone companies have been buying fewer conventional SIMs, because they’re preparing for a world in which eSIMs show up in devices, hurting Gemalto’s sales. If Gemalto gets business from Apple, it could see a big rebound.

    WHERE THINGS GET REALLY INTERESTING is when the eSIM moves from Apple Watch to iPhone. Apple already allows people using its iPad tablet to select which wireless carrier they want on a month-by-month basis, using a programmable version of the normal SIM card. Apple Watch will follow in that tradition, and iPhone may be next. “The launch of an Apple Watch with eSIM would not be good news for mobile operators,” says Mawston, who anticipates Apple adding eSIM to iPhones in a couple of years’ time. “It would be a sign that Apple wants to take more control and ownership of the mobile subscriber in the future.”

    Phone companies will initially have a new opportunity to sell additional wireless data to new Apple Watches this holiday season. But the prospect of eSIM coming to smartphones has got to be distressing to an industry already facing ferocious competition for subscribers in markets such as the U.S.

    AT&T (T), Verizon Communications (VZ), T-Mobile US (TMUS), and Sprint (S) now face the prospect that in a couple of years’ time new phone buyers will not set foot in a retail store, never see the latest promotions, never get sold on this or that service by retail reps, and instead choose a carrier from a device menu, on a pay-as-you-go basis.

    The subsidies that have enticed consumers are still a big advantage for carriers. But those subsidies have been fading over the years, as device financing is built into monthly charges rather than as a benefit of contracts. Apple even provides its own financing for qualified iPhone buyers.

    The next Apple Watch may be a small step forward for wearable technology, but a giant, scary leap into the unknown for the telecoms.
  3. aandeeltje! 15 september 2017 01:43
    De koers herstelt weer wat. Ik wacht rustig het volgende bericht van nieuwe aanpassingen in verwachtingen af. Het gaat weer niet meevallen denk ik. Dan gaat er weer 20% af denk ik zomaar.
    Kan er natuurlijk volledig naast zitten, dat is dan goed voor de aandeelhouder.
    Hoe is het mogelijk dag er 3x correctie is. Voor mij zoh er maar een oplossing zijn en dag is de top vervangen. Er is veel geld verloren wegens zeer foutieve insvhattingen van de top. Zie geen reden waarom deze top te handhave, gewwon zeer ongeloofwaardig, wellicht zelfs incompetent in deze.
  4. Erg chebbi 16 september 2017 14:50
    G heeft in markten (zie artikel hierboven: de simmarkt) waar ze een groot marktaandeel hadden gewoon competitie gekregen (aandeel/omzet/marge verloren). Als de kosten gelijk blijven is dat vragen om problemen.
    Naast de winstwaarschuwingen zouden aankondigingen van ontslagen nu meer voor de hand liggen.

    Ik roep ook maar wat.
  5. aandeeltje! 16 september 2017 16:47
    Hoewel het misschien een koopje lijkt, is dat het natuurlijk niet. Gemalto is veel te duur geweest, gedreven op groei vqn winst die geheel niet uitkomt. Vervelende boodschap voor diegenen die op veel hoger zijn ingestapt. Het kan natuurlijk altijd zijn dat de koers weer bijtrekt.
    Im zet daar niet op in. Is ook niet erg aannemelijk met het huidig wjnstniveau en de waarschuwingen/aanpassingen.

    Concrete maatregelen zijn nu aan de orde. Maar ja ze zagen weinig aankomen dus die maatregelen moeten ze nu maar gaan bedenken.
  6. Chrisisrend 20 september 2017 16:34
    shorters die kerende zijn? zit zo hoog percentage short, die moeten een keer terug kopen. shortsqueeze kan je het nog niet echt noemen gezien de directe terugval
    overname geruchten lijkt me nog niet van toepassing, als dat uberhaupt nog een terugkerend thema is.
    vreemd was het wel
  7. [verwijderd] 21 september 2017 16:57
    Wat is het hier stil zeg. Zit niemand meer in gemalto of zo? Ik denk serieus om in te stappen voor een lange rit. Waar veel shorters zitten zie ik meer als kan om veel en snel winst te maken. Ze moeten eens terugkopen. Denk eerlijk dat binnenkort de toko wordt overgenomen dan zijn de shorters de shaak.
  8. [verwijderd] 22 september 2017 10:22
    quote:

    Hobahobahi schreef op 22 september 2017 09:19:

    Dit aandeel is naar de klote. Shortpartijen willen genadeloos slopen en naar 30 euro gaan. Ik blijf toch voorlopig vanaf.
    Dat is krasse taal, maar het einde van Gemalto is nabij In 2017 gaan ze hooguit 100 miljoen netto verdienen, dat is dan 1,10 p/a een koers van 11 euro is dan normaal bij dit niet groei aandeel p/e is dan 10
  9. [verwijderd] 22 september 2017 11:06
    quote:

    zilveruitje schreef op 22 september 2017 10:22:

    [...]

    Dat is krasse taal, maar het einde van Gemalto is nabij In 2017 gaan ze hooguit 100 miljoen netto verdienen, dat is dan 1,10 p/a een koers van 11 euro is dan normaal bij dit niet groei aandeel p/e is dan 10

    Dat klopt idd. Eind verhaal voor Gemalto denk ik. Niet voor niets dat bijna 18% short zit in dit aandeel. Ze weten dat toko nog meer gaat dalen. Ik blijf van af
466 Posts
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